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This is a simulation tool — for curiosity and conversation, not prediction.
Real elections are shaped by candidate choices, coalitions, and on-the-ground campaigns that no simulator can capture. Use this to explore how voter turnout shifts and political realignments could reshape Kenya's electoral map in 2027. You can adjust results at county level (broad strokes) or drill down to constituency level for granular what-if scenarios. The 2022 baseline data is from official IEBC Form 35 results.
Kenya Presidential Election 2022
Official IEBC Results — Form 35 | 47 Counties | 290 Constituencies
Raila Odinga
6,942,930
48.85%
William Ruto
7,176,141
50.49%
Winning Margin
233,211
Ruto Won
Turnout
64.2%
of 22.1M Registered
County Results
County
Vote Split
Opp %
Turnout
Won
Global Swing Controls
48.9%
64.2%
100%
CountyProjected SplitMarginWinner
Adjust by County or Constituency